Pause / Reset - The Great Uncertainty

Most transformative figure in next 10 years?

To the credit of Ursula von der Leyen, "doing less or doing nothing literally means changing everything. The infernos and hurricanes we have seen over the last few weeks are only a very small window into what our future could look like." 

Pristine German towns flooded later in the week, killing hundreds.

We are walking into the nascent years of immediate climate change that is sure to disrupt our lives, supply chains, and the very existence of some presently near failed states. 

Markets haven't priced this into immediate stock valuations - we are more obsessed with currency policy (because we control it) than harder questions tied to civilization oriented (potential) extinction events.

Covid-19 has not so subtly proven that nature, even possible lab induced nature, can easily overwhelm present systems of governance. Which means if the world turns on us, we are f***ed... But hey, let's talk about GME, BBY, and AMC? Beautiful distractions as we walk and invest into the darkness?

At the same time, the identity cult, the anglo-oriented left has largely abandoned both green and working class issues almost in an ironic effort to summon the reincarnation of Donald Trump, Donald Trump Ron DeSantis / Josh Hawley. The challenge fundamental to all three of these possible leaders is that they all signify the death of the American Project courtesy of Facebook.

The city on the hill, the beacon of democracy, America used to mean something... to everyone that aspired for the power of the vote.

Biden is of the geriatric lucky age point that he gives no fuck anymore. And he has no ego to put on a wall but wants to do what he believes is the right thing whether it is or not.

And to his credit Brezhnev (see earlier writing) Biden, was right on Afghanistan. Fighting Afghan tribesmen for the indefinite future is a complete waste of time. The amount of public attention tied to a war in a wasteland over nothing but the remnants of politics is nothing more than pre paying one's own cemetery fees. 

And this is where the pause / reset hits us - both of those things depends on moral and intellectual leadership - something that is entirely absent in our (North America's) leadership class.